It is the alternative hypothesis which determines what "extreme" actually means, so the p-value depends on the alternative hypothesis that you state: left-tailed, right-tailed, or two-tailed. More intuitively, p-value answers the question:Īssuming that I live in a world where the null hypothesis holds, how probable is it that, for another sample, the test I'm performing will generate a value at least as extreme as the one I observed for the sample I already have? It is crucial to remember that this probability is calculated under the assumption that the null hypothesis is true!
Formally, the p-value is the probability that the test statistic will produce values at least as extreme as the value it produced for your sample.
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